Utility Tuesday: 362x Earnings Meets 7.8% FCF Yield in the Renewable Corner
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Sign in →6. CNX Resources Corporation (CNX)
EV/EBITDA: 3.5 | Interest coverage: 5.7x | 52w drawdown: 16.0%
CNX Resources delivers a 20.5% earnings yield and 10.3% FCF yield at 4.9x earnings, the lowest multiple in this week's screen, while 49% revenue growth and 47% gross margins reflect aggressive Marcellus and Utica production expansion. The earnings yield sits 1,584 basis points above the 10-year normalized mean, pricing in deep pessimism despite 11.2% ROIC and a 3.5x EV/EBITDA valuation that implies distressed expectations.
Insiders added $5.4M across 558,467 shares in the past six months, with recent May 2026 transactions from Robert Agbede, Maureen Lally-Green, and William Thorndike Jr. Short interest at 14% of float signals consensus skepticism, creating a high-tension setup where either the shorts capitulate on stronger gas pricing or the 16% drawdown extends if hedges roll off into weaker spot markets.
Net debt at 1.2x EBITDA and interest coverage at 5.7x leave manageable leverage, but the 6.4% analyst upside to $39 reflects limited conviction on the 49% revenue growth trajectory sustaining through 2027. The thesis depends on natural gas prices holding above $3 and Appalachian basis differentials tightening.
7. Devon Energy Corporation (DVN)
EV/EBITDA: 5.6 | Interest coverage: 8.0x | 52w drawdown: 5.8%
Devon Energy posts 13.9% ROIC with a 7.2% earnings yield and 4.9% FCF yield at 13.8x earnings, while 7.8% revenue growth and a 2.1% dividend yield create a balanced return profile across income and reinvestment. Net debt at 1.0x EBITDA and interest coverage at 8x position the balance sheet to weather oil price volatility, while the Permian and Anadarko Basin footprint captures U.S. onshore growth tied to export infrastructure.
Three insiders transacted in May 2026, including Jacinto Hernandez, Adam Vela, and Jeffrey Ritenour, though the six-month tally shows 4M net shares added with no recorded buy or sell percentage, suggesting the activity reflects equity compensation vesting rather than discretionary purchases. Analysts price in 21% upside to $60, the second-widest implied gain in the screen.
The 5.8% drawdown sits in Moderate Dip territory, limiting entry discount, while 6% short interest reflects some bearish positioning on crude price direction. The 2.6% earnings yield premium over the 10-year normalized mean offers modest support, but the thesis requires oil prices holding above $70 to sustain the 14% ROIC and current payout.
8. Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN)
EV/EBITDA: 16.3 | Interest coverage: 0.5x | 52w drawdown: 13.0%
Clearway Energy delivers a 7.8% FCF yield and 5.1% dividend yield backed by 63% gross margins from contracted solar, wind, and natural gas generation, while 4.2% revenue growth reflects steady capacity additions within the yieldco structure. The 13% drawdown from the 52-week high creates entry room, while analysts price in 19% upside to $43, signaling conviction on the contracted cash flow model supporting the payout.
The 362x P/E and 0.5x interest coverage flag structural risk: net debt sits at 8.8x EBITDA, the highest leverage in this week's screen, while the sub-1x interest coverage means EBIT barely exceeds interest expense, leaving no cushion if power prices soften or if refinancing costs rise. The thesis depends entirely on locked-in power purchase agreements sustaining cash flow, with zero margin for operational missteps.
Three insiders transacted in May 2026, including Kevin Malcarney, Sarah Rubenstein, and Brian Ford, though the six-month tally shows zero net shares added, suggesting the activity reflects compensation rather than conviction. Recent coverage noted conservative accounting might explain soft earnings, while the company reaffirmed 2026 guidance despite mixed Q1 results.
What to Watch
• CNX Resources Q2 earnings (early August 2026): The 49% revenue growth and 20% earnings yield at 4.9x earnings create the screen's widest valuation gap; guidance on Appalachian gas pricing and hedging strategy will determine whether the 14% short interest unwinds or extends.
• Natural gas storage reports (weekly through October 2026): Seven of eight tickers carry direct or indirect exposure to U.S. natural gas pricing; inventory levels relative to the five-year average will shape Appalachian basis differentials and producer hedging decisions heading into winter.
• ConocoPhillips and Chevron Q2 earnings (late July 2026): Both integrated majors sit within 9% of 52-week highs despite single-digit drawdowns; updates on capital allocation, buyback pacing, and refining margins will clarify whether the 21–34x multiples price in sustainable earnings or require crude above $80 to justify current levels.
• Clearway Energy refinancing announcements (next 90 days): The 0.5x interest coverage and 8.8x net debt-to-EBITDA create refinancing risk if bond yields remain elevated; any secured credit facility extension or unsecured note issuance will determine whether the 5% dividend holds through 2027.
Go Deeper
The utility screener isolates energy infrastructure, power generation, and integrated producers with insider buying, FCF yields above 3%, and drawdowns creating entry points below recent highs.
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